AURmetric
Data & provenance

Where the numbers come from

Every figure on AURmetric is built from public data. The live layer is genuine — pulled from official APIs, nothing invented. The modeled layers are clearly labeled as estimates. This page lists each dataset, what it powers, its vintage, and how often it refreshes.

County & state rates current as of 2026 · last national build July 2026

Live public data

SourcePowersCoverage / vintageCadence
BLS Local Area Unemployment Statistics (LAUS), via the BLS Public Data API County & state official U-3 rates; the base of every true-rate calculation All 50 states + DC, ~3,130 counties, 2026 Monthly
BLS Alternative Measures (U-1…U-6) State U-6/U-3 ratios used to lift each county's U-3 to a U-6 basis 11 states' own published ratios; national ratio as fallback, 2025 Annual
Quarterly Census of Employment & Wages (QCEW) Industry employment mix, location quotients, average wages, and lost-economic-potential estimates per county County × industry, latest available quarter Quarterly
BLS Employment Projections & OEWS Structural occupation-growth outlook blended into the job-demand signal National, 10-year horizon Annual
Indeed Hiring Lab Real-time job-postings index by sector; year-over-year demand momentum National, by sector Monthly
U.S. Census / TIGER geography County and state boundary shapes for the maps National As released
BLS series LNS14000000 The national historical unemployment chart (annual average) 1948–present, seasonally adjusted Monthly

Modeled layers (labeled as estimates)

The informal, undocumented, and "complete" (U-7/U-8) figures are modeled estimates with error bands, not measured statistics — see the Methodology for exactly how they are built and reconciled. Job-demand momentum at the county level is currently illustrative until a paid county-level postings feed is integrated; the national Indeed signal above is real.

What's live vs. modeled. Anything labeled Live on the dashboard is real public data. Anything labeled Modeled or Illustrative is a demonstration of the estimation engine and must not be cited as an official statistic.

Cite this

When referencing AURmetric's figures or methodology, please use:

AURmetric. (2026). Actual Unemployment Rate Metric [Data set]. Retrieved from https://aurmetric.com

Please also cite the original agencies for the underlying public series — the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS, QCEW, OEWS) and the U.S. Census Bureau — and label any modeled U-7/U-8 figure as an AURmetric estimate, not an official statistic.

Independence

AURmetric is an independent project. It is not affiliated with or endorsed by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, the Census Bureau, or any government agency. Official series are reproduced unchanged for comparability; see Terms.